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berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 02:10 PM Sep 2012

Obama Breaks 50% in LIKELY Voters in FOUR Battleground States; Leads Romney by 4-8 Points in Each

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/25/fresh-polls-give-obama-the-advantage-in-four-crucial-battlegrounds/?hpt=po_c2

New polls released in four swing states on Tuesday all indicate President Barack Obama edging out Republican nominee Mitt Romney by four to eight points, including by eight-points in Ohio, where Romney is making several campaign stops Tuesday and Wednesday. In each survey, Obama's advantage is within the poll's sampling error, but each survey indicates the president grabbing at least 50 percent of the likely voters interviewed.

The fresh batch of polls in Ohio, Florida, Iowa and Nevada - which together account for 59 electoral votes - were released by the Washington Post and American Research Group and were all conducted over the past six days, after the release of secretly recorded clips from a May fund-raiser, in which Romney casts Obama supporters as dependent on government. The story dominated coverage of the race for the White House last week.


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lebkuchen

(10,716 posts)
3. super--I'd like to see a Heidi Heitkamp poll (ND Senate)
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 02:14 PM
Sep 2012

There hasn't been one since early July. Her opponent would probably like to keep it that way, but still, she's got to be pulling ahead.

 

RC

(25,592 posts)
7. Lets hope so, Heidi has a good chance of winning over the slum lord.
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 02:58 PM
Sep 2012

North Dakotans seem to have more sense over all, than Missourians, with their love affair with Todd Akin. I fear for this state.

lebkuchen

(10,716 posts)
18. Akin will lose
Reply to RC (Reply #7)
Wed Sep 26, 2012, 12:54 PM
Sep 2012

We gave McCaskill $100, too, not that that will win her her campaign, but she's not my senator. Others outside of MO will be so moved.

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
9. Romney's fucked. All he can do now is try to save face by not losing too badly.
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 03:52 PM
Sep 2012

I think at this point all he can try to do is not lose worse than McCain did. At this rate, he's headed for Bob Dole territory.

catbyte

(34,372 posts)
10. I read a PPP poll and Michigan is solid Obama territory. 13% of Republicans are voting for Obama
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 03:58 PM
Sep 2012
http://www.scribd.com/doc/95179704/Ppp-Tree-Poll

It's 53-39 Obama with 65% of people believing that Romney is not truly a Michigander. What I found funny was they asked how Romney would have done if he had picked Gov. Snyder for VP and Romney lost a point, LOL. They asked if we thought the trees were the right height and 38% said yes, 8% not sure & 55% unsure.



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Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
15. "They asked if we thought the trees were the right height and 38% said yes"
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 05:12 PM
Sep 2012

Ya know,...it really gets me how easily molded some people's minds are.

Tell you what,...ask the local Right Wingers who claim Mitt was right if Michigan can take pride in its trees. When they say "yes" then ask them if they love the trees and call them "tree huggers".

catbyte

(34,372 posts)
12. I read a PPP poll and Michigan is solid Obama territory. 13% of Republicans are voting for Obama
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 04:09 PM
Sep 2012
http://www.scribd.com/doc/95179704/Ppp-Tree-Poll

It's 53-39 Obama with 65% of people believing that Romney is not a Michigander. What I found funny was they asked how Romney would have done if he had picked Gov. Snyder for VP and Romney lost a point, LOL. They asked if we thought the trees were the right height and 38% said yes, 8% not sure & 55% unsure. Now if we could just get rid of Justin Amash, I would be a happy woman.


spooky3

(34,438 posts)
13. The columnist is misinterpreting the margins of error reported at least in the linked WaPo poll.
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 04:17 PM
Sep 2012

His employer needs to get him some statistics training or hire a statistical consultant.

davidwparker

(5,397 posts)
14. Vote, people. Vote.
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 05:01 PM
Sep 2012

That's the way it looked in Ohio, too. Then, the theft started.

We need to aim, not by what people say, but what people say + the margin of error + the margin of disenfranchisement.

But, a positive note.

jackbenimble

(251 posts)
17. I've been polled!
Tue Sep 25, 2012, 06:57 PM
Sep 2012

I'm in Missouri. I've had several calls lately from apparent pollsters, but today I decided to go ahead and answer. The call was from Clarity Polling. I'm pretty sure it was for repugs because they were listed first in all of the choices. I was asked about the presidential election, the race between akin and McCaskill, what my views on abortion were, my age, my gender, and my race.

I don't think they are going to like my answers.

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