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cali

(114,904 posts)
Sun Sep 23, 2012, 05:55 PM Sep 2012

New Ohio poll: President Obama 51%, Mittwit, 46%


27 minutes ago
Poll: Obama up by five points in Ohio

Posted by
CNN's Ashley Killough

(CNN) – One day before Mitt Romney's campaign starts a three day bus tour in Ohio, a new poll indicates the Republican nominee is behind President Barack Obama by five percentage points in the Buckeye State.

Just over half - 51% - of likely voters back the president, while 46% support Romney, according to a new survey released Sunday and conducted by the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy Research.


http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/23/poll-obama-up-by-five-points-in-ohio/
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Chiyo-chichi

(3,574 posts)
2. I love to see polls that have the President OVER 50% anywhere.
Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:06 PM
Sep 2012

I expect this lead to grow if Mitt is headed there and plans to say or do anything.

 

jody

(26,624 posts)
3. I've been sampling natural processes for decades, not opinions, and I ROFL at how the masses react
Sun Sep 23, 2012, 06:08 PM
Sep 2012

to the daily samples of voter opinions with all their inherent weaknesses.

The only thing that matters is final votes and with voter fraud possible I'm not so sure about that.

I believe Obama will win and the GOP will gain a few seats in the House and 1 or 2 seats in the Senate.

If that happens, then how can a divided government stand?

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
4. what are "natural processes"?
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 04:43 AM
Sep 2012

yes, there are inherent weaknesses in polls but I think one can detect a trend in polling- at least some of the time.
I think you're wrong about the House and Senate. I don't think the dems will retake the House but I do think they'll gain 7 or 8 seats and I'm no longer convinced the repubs will pick up any seats in the Senate despite the fact that they have far fewer seats to defend in that body.

And divided gov't stands all the time. Not very well but it does.

 

jody

(26,624 posts)
6. Natural processes are the subject of science, technology, engineering. Research often involves
Mon Sep 24, 2012, 07:18 AM
Sep 2012

statistical methods requiring sampling in those areas.

I made the disclaimer to avoid misleading anyone that I had experience in sampling opinions, I do not.

I hope you are right about Dem prospects for the House and Senate.

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