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Sat Sep 8, 2012, 07:30 PM

If every eligible voter was allowed to vote, Obama would win no questions asked

Obama Would Be Big Favorite With ‘Fired Up’ Base


There’s one advantage that President Obama has that Mitt Romney probably doesn’t. If he can get a good turnout from his base, he’ll be the heavy favorite to win in November — even if Mr. Romney gets a strong turnout as well.

On average over the last five public surveys, 35 percent of registered voters identify themselves as Democrats and 30 percent as Republicans. That advantage is down somewhat for Democrats since 2008, but it is an advantage nevertheless.




In the regular, likely-voter version of our “now-cast,” Mr. Obama is estimated to have a 68 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in an election held today. But on the basis of registered voters, he would be a 91 percent favorite. Instead of being ahead in the popular vote by a hair over one point, he’d be expected to win by around four. And he’d be projected to win 322 electoral votes, rather than 291.



http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/06/obama-would-be-big-favorite-with-fired-up-base/

This is why the republicans keep putting up voting restrictions and trying to disenfranchise voters. They know the odd are completely against them!

Get Out the VOTE!


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Reply If every eligible voter was allowed to vote, Obama would win no questions asked (Original post)
liberal N proud Sep 2012 OP
loli phabay Sep 2012 #1
liberal N proud Sep 2012 #2
treestar Sep 2012 #4
malaise Sep 2012 #3

Response to liberal N proud (Original post)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 07:41 PM

1. a large enough group of people just dont vote either as they dony care

 

Think its a waste of time or a myriad of other reasons. The problem is that you have to give people something to vote fot not just vote against the other guys.

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Response to loli phabay (Reply #1)

Sat Sep 8, 2012, 08:09 PM

2. Having worked with Get Out the Vote in the past, I don't see it as a waste of time

There are people who will get out there when they think that it does matter, when they are told their vote is important.

Get Out the Vote efforts work and are necessary when the other team is cheating and telling them their vote does not matter.

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Response to loli phabay (Reply #1)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 09:00 AM

4. So these people are waiting until they are "given" something before they will participate?

They get what they deserve. There is no excuse for not voting.

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Response to liberal N proud (Original post)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:59 AM

3. K & R n/t

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