Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:54 PM

maddezmom (130,772 posts)

Why Romney’s Pulling Back on PA Ad Spending

John Micek reads the new Quinnipiac poll, which finds PA slipping further away from Romney. Obama leads by 11, and the internals are even worse for Mitt. Check out that 24-point gap with women!:

•Pennsylvania women voters back Obama 59 – 35 percent, while men go 50 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 58 – 36 percent.

•Among Obama voters, 59 percent strongly favor him while 33 percent like him with reservations and 7 percent say their vote is against Romney.

•Among Romney voters, 41 percent strongly favor him while 37 percent like him with reservations and 22 percent say they are voting against Obama.

More:
http://www.keystonepolitics.com/2012/08/why-romneys-pulling-back-pa-ad-spending/

11 replies, 2060 views

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11 replies	Author	Time	Post
Why Romney’s Pulling Back on PA Ad Spending (Original post)	maddezmom	Aug 2012	OP
voter id law caveat n/t	yodermon	Aug 2012	#1
Yeah they think they have it all wrapped up no matter what the polls say.	Ganja Ninja	Aug 2012	#7
Rmoney is in the low 40s, this is a REALLY good thing...watch for GOP Pivot towards congerss...	uponit7771	Aug 2012	#2
Sampling rate is good, abover 1100 on all which means MOE is in the 2's..REALLY good for Obama	uponit7771	Aug 2012	#3
The sampling rate shows an oversampling of Democrats by 7%. I have been warning about this	SlimJimmy	Aug 2012	#11
Doesn't matter if they're not allowed to vote	Ian_rd	Aug 2012	#4
If this was the Bush DOJ and a Dem said what some of the PA state congressmembers	uponit7771	Aug 2012	#5
In other news: mittens buys PA and turns it into his own golf course. nt	Javaman	Aug 2012	#6
PA Voter ID bill could disenfranchise over 800K voters (which is 125k more than needed in 2008)	LynneSin	Aug 2012	#8
Hmmm -- 58 percent of PA's independent voters back Obama	rocktivity	Aug 2012	#9
kick	Liberal_in_LA	Aug 2012	#10

Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:13 PM

yodermon (4,765 posts)

1. voter id law caveat n/t

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Response to yodermon (Reply #1)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:23 PM

Ganja Ninja (15,691 posts)

7. Yeah they think they have it all wrapped up no matter what the polls say.

Why waste money when the fix is in.

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:14 PM

uponit7771 (16,130 posts)

2. Rmoney is in the low 40s, this is a REALLY good thing...watch for GOP Pivot towards congerss...

....they'll do it fast and quick and with little warning

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:17 PM

uponit7771 (16,130 posts)

3. Sampling rate is good, abover 1100 on all which means MOE is in the 2's..REALLY good for Obama

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Response to uponit7771 (Reply #3)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:35 PM

SlimJimmy (1,707 posts)

11. The sampling rate shows an oversampling of Democrats by 7%. I have been warning about this

about this for several months now. I have also been warning DU that the use of registered voters rather than likely voters is wrong and leads to overly optimistic results. Well, this poll *does* use likely voters, so that's good. But, until I see a poll that uses the correct sampling of Democrats to Republicans, and uses likely voters, then I'll start being optimistic.

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:18 PM

Ian_rd (2,027 posts)

4. Doesn't matter if they're not allowed to vote

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Response to Ian_rd (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:20 PM

uponit7771 (16,130 posts)

5. If this was the Bush DOJ and a Dem said what some of the PA state congressmembers

...said they'd be in jail by now.

Don't understand Holder, it's treasonous what the GOP is doing in regards to votes...

The DNC seems to thing that 10,000 votes isn't going to be an election turner but it was during the 2000 election.

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 02:21 PM

Javaman (40,599 posts)

6. In other news: mittens buys PA and turns it into his own golf course. nt

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:09 PM

LynneSin (89,793 posts)

8. PA Voter ID bill could disenfranchise over 800K voters (which is 125k more than needed in 2008)

Obama won PA by 10%

It was around 624k votes between Obama vs. McCain

IF this voter ID bill stands then over 800k voters could be disenfranchised mainly in the urban areas with Youth, elderly and minorities.

Romney has more money than Moses to run this race.

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:26 PM

rocktivity (36,621 posts)

9. Hmmm -- 58 percent of PA's independent voters back Obama

Last edited Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:57 PM USA/ET - Edit history (2)

And 61 percent of America's independent voters want to see Romney's tax returns (link).

Coincidence?

rocktivity

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Response to maddezmom (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 03:33 PM

Liberal_in_LA (28,633 posts)

10. kick

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