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Polybius

(15,623 posts)
16. I suspect both races will be closer than the polls, as crossover votes aren't what they used to be
Sun May 19, 2024, 12:19 PM
May 19

Perhaps Biden wins Arizona by 1% or less, while Gallego wins by 6%.

I am sorry to say this but Florida is a lost cause. JohnSJ May 19 #1
Yeah, it was expected Polybius May 19 #3
I agree. shrike3 May 19 #6
Biden will have more money than the mismanaged Trump campaign edhopper May 19 #8
Never looked at it that way. Okay. shrike3 May 19 #9
Trump cannot loose Florida edhopper May 19 #11
Got it. n/t shrike3 May 19 #30
Yep NanaCat May 19 #25
I sincerely hope the FL polls way underestimate the women's vote for their own healthcare. lark May 19 #2
True, Trump and Scott were always favorites to win their races in Florida Polybius May 19 #4
I hope so too. JohnSJ May 19 #5
The AZ presidential numbers are within the MOE, so statistically tied. Fiendish Thingy May 19 #7
It is beyond illogic edhopper May 19 #10
I suspect both races will be closer than the polls, as crossover votes aren't what they used to be Polybius May 19 #16
That would still mean that 5% of the voters edhopper May 19 #21
Actually I'm pleased to see Mucarsel-Powell only 8 points behind. Fla Dem May 19 #12
the better number is Scott at only 45 dsc May 19 #23
I refuse to look at this. Period. SWBTATTReg May 19 #13
Not even the good news? Polybius May 19 #18
It is so far off. I am just over Polls and such. NT SWBTATTReg May 19 #29
What was the Arizona polling for Biden-tRump 4 years ago Norbert May 19 #14
On May 19, 2020 Biden was up by 3.1 Polybius May 19 #17
I expect a 2022 type polling skew this year ColinC May 19 #28
A lot of seniors in live in Arizona kimbutgar May 19 #15
Sounds like it's about the border womanofthehills May 19 #19
So why they worry about the border they'll vote for the guy who'll take away their social security and medicare kimbutgar May 19 #20
Seniors have voted for plenty of Republicans before who have talked about reforming SS & Medicare. Ruby Soho May 19 #26
To get the D message out NanaCat May 19 #27
registered voters not likely voters...as usual bad polls...Roe is the most important issue. Demsrule86 May 19 #24
This poll was of likely voters. Ruby Soho May 19 #31
4 polls...all completely useless...where is the link? Demsrule86 May 19 #22
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Four new CBS News polls: ...»Reply #16