Which Casey's PA US Senate Election is Fetterman's margin of victory going to be similar to?

[nkpolitics1212]

2006- 58-41(Casey vs Santorum)
2012- 54-45(Casey vs Smith)
2018- 56-43(Casey vs Barletta)

I expect Fetterman’s 2022 margin of victory to be similar to Casey’s 2012 margin of victory.

[Freddie]

1. I remember 2006 very clearly

It became known that Ricky opposed abortion in cases of rape and incest, which was a very radical opinion at the time (now it’s just commonplace to think that cruel and unusual punishment of a crime victim is A-ok). There was a brilliant ad campaign that pronounced Ricky as “too extreme for Pennsylvania!” And he lost resoundingly.
Since both of the possible RWNJ opponents are WAY more extreme in their anti-woman stance, we could resurrect this slogan as part of the campaign.